This goal will be met using a combination of computational modeling, historical climate and storm surge data analysis, and theory-based synthesis. The overarching goal of the proposed research project is to reveal and contrast the mechanisms by which these geomorphic and climatic changes alter flood risk. Similarly, sea level rise and climate-modulated variations in storm characteristics such as intensity, size and track path also alter flood risk. Such geomorphic changes increase flood risk by reducing natural resistance to storm surge and tides. Since the 19 th century, estuary channels have typically been deepened and widened by a factor of two or three, harbor entrances have been deepened and streamlined, and a large proportion of wetlands have been filled over and replaced with neighborhoods. PI Philip Orton, Stevens Institute of TechnologyĬo-PI Thomas Wahl, University of Central FloridaĬo-PI James Booth, City University of New YorkĬo-PI Stefan Talke, Portland State University / California Polytechnic State Universityįunding agency/program: National Science Foundation, Prediction of and Resilience to Extreme Events (PREEVENTS)Ĭoastal flooding is one of the most dangerous and damaging natural hazards that societies face, and coastal development and climate change are causing a dramatic rise in vulnerability.
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